Analyst rating accuracy & track record
Matthew J. Carletti is an equity research analyst at JMP Securities. Bullish Whales has scored 51 of their stock calls across 12 companies. Their picks beat their sector 39% of the time over the next 12 months, and their price targets were reached 43% of the time within a year.
Track record
Bullish Whales has scored 51 of Matthew J. Carletti's stock calls across 12 companies, dating back to 2018. Their rated stocks beat their own sector 39% of the time over the next 12 months. On a typical call, a Carletti pick returned −9.6% more than its sector over the following year.
Of the scored calls, 51 were bullish (Buy). Most of their coverage sits in Financial Services. Every number on this page is an estimate from our own data. It is for education only and is not investment advice.
Coverage & ratings
Ratings & price targets
| Stock | Rating | Price target | Rated | 12-mo vs sector | PT hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | $23.00 | Jun 2025 | +3.8% | Hit | |
| Buy | $225.00 | May 2025 | −6.7% | Miss | |
| Buy | $27.00 | May 2025 | +36.3% | Miss | |
| Buy | $210.00 | May 2025 | −10.0% | Hit | |
| Buy | $8.00 | May 2025 | −12.0% | Miss | |
| Buy | $65.00 | May 2025 | −32.4% | Hit | |
| Buy | $65.00 | Apr 2025 | −39.8% | Miss | |
| Buy | $40.00 | Apr 2025 | −49.5% | Hit | |
| Buy | $165.00 | Feb 2025 | +24.8% | Hit | |
| Buy | $20.00 | Feb 2025 | +30.9% | Hit | |
| Buy | $60.00 | Feb 2025 | −12.2% | Hit | |
| Buy | $8.00 | Dec 2024 | +21.7% | Miss | |
| Buy | $35.00 | Nov 2024 | −4.1% | Hit | |
| Buy | $33.00 | Nov 2024 | −31.9% | Hit | |
| Buy | $175.00 | Oct 2024 | +4.1% | Hit | |
| Buy | $65.00 | Oct 2024 | −30.2% | Miss | |
| Buy | $90.00 | Oct 2024 | +72.4% | Hit | |
| Buy | $160.00 | Oct 2024 | +3.0% | Hit | |
| Buy | $85.00 | Oct 2024 | −38.6% | Miss | |
| Buy | $145.00 | Oct 2024 | +62.3% | Hit | |
| Buy | $145.00 | Sep 2024 | +50.7% | Hit | |
| Buy | $145.00 | Aug 2024 | +47.5% | Hit | |
| Buy | $11.00 | Aug 2024 | −46.7% | Miss | |
| Buy | $85.00 | Aug 2024 | −44.2% | Miss | |
| Buy | $65.00 | Jul 2024 | −24.3% | Miss | |
| Buy | $14.00 | Jul 2024 | −53.2% | Miss | |
| Buy | $80.00 | Jul 2024 | −23.2% | Miss | |
| Buy | $135.00 | May 2024 | +42.4% | Hit | |
| Buy | $65.00 | Apr 2024 | −17.7% | Miss | |
| Buy | $25.00 | Apr 2024 | −9.2% | Hit | |
| Buy | $15.00 | Apr 2024 | −72.2% | Miss | |
| Buy | $75.00 | Apr 2024 | −15.3% | Miss | |
| Buy | $120.00 | Apr 2024 | +13.1% | Hit | |
| Buy | $25.00 | Mar 2024 | +30.8% | Hit | |
| Buy | $120.00 | Mar 2024 | +0.8% | Hit | |
| Buy | $15.00 | Nov 2023 | −87.7% | Miss | |
| Buy | $75.00 | Oct 2023 | +2.5% | Miss | |
| Buy | $25.00 | Oct 2023 | +87.4% | Hit | |
| Buy | $30.00 | Oct 2023 | −97.6% | Miss | |
| Buy | $50.00 | Aug 2023 | +69.4% | Miss | |
| Buy | $65.00 | Jul 2023 | −36.6% | Miss | |
| Buy | $70.00 | Jul 2023 | −38.1% | Miss | |
| Buy | $32.00 | Jul 2023 | −80.5% | Miss | |
| Buy | $85.00 | Jul 2023 | +8.5% | Miss | |
| Buy | $32.00 | May 2023 | −85.6% | Miss | |
| Buy | $65.00 | Apr 2023 | −41.2% | Miss | |
| Buy | $65.00 | Apr 2023 | −25.4% | Miss | |
| Buy | $70.00 | Apr 2023 | −13.6% | Miss | |
| Buy | $32.00 | Apr 2023 | −75.5% | Miss | |
| Buy | $80.00 | Feb 2020 | −25.1% | Miss |
Matthew J. Carletti: analyst track record FAQ
Is Matthew J. Carletti a good stock analyst?
Yes, by track record. Matthew J. Carletti ranks number 210 of 347 of the analysts Bullish Whales scores, with a BW Score of 21 out of 100. Past results do not guarantee future ones.
What is Matthew J. Carletti's win rate?
Matthew J. Carletti's win rate is 39%. Across 51 scored calls, their rated stocks beat their sector 39% of the time over the next 12 months. On a typical call they returned −9.6% more than the sector.
What stocks and sectors does Matthew J. Carletti cover?
Matthew J. Carletti covers 12 companies, with the most coverage in Financial Services. See the ratings table above for every scored call and its outcome.
Are Matthew J. Carletti's price targets accurate?
Matthew J. Carletti's price targets are reached within 12 months 43% of the time. The base rate across all analysts Bullish Whales tracks is about 43 percent.
How accurate are Wall Street analyst price targets?
Most analyst price targets are not reached on schedule. Across every target Bullish Whales scores, the stock reaches the target within 12 months only about 43 percent of the time, which is why it helps to compare hit rates analyst by analyst.
Should I follow Matthew J. Carletti's stock ratings?
Their track record is strong, but no analyst is right every time. Follow the long-term track record rather than any single rating, size your positions to your own risk, and treat this as research, not investment advice.
How does Bullish Whales score analyst accuracy?
Bullish Whales scores every rating on real prices. We enter at the closing price on or after the call date, with no look-ahead, then measure the 12-month return above the stock's sector ETF and check whether the price target was reached. Scores are pulled toward the population average and corrected for testing thousands of analysts at once, so they reflect repeatable skill rather than luck.
How does Matthew J. Carletti rank among Wall Street analysts?
Matthew J. Carletti ranks number 210 of 347 by BW Score. We rank analysts by their realized 12-month sector-excess return and require a minimum number of calls so a few lucky picks cannot reach the top.
Browse the full analyst leaderboardHow analyst accuracy is scored
Every score, Win %, PT Hit % and rank is an estimate Bullish Whales calculates from its own data and may not be 100% accurate or complete. Returns are measured in excess of each rated stock's own sector over the 12 months after each call. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.