Analyst rating accuracy & track record
John Baumgartner is an equity research analyst at Mizuho. Bullish Whales has scored 21 of their stock calls across 9 companies. Their picks beat their sector 31% of the time over the next 12 months, and their price targets were reached 28% of the time within a year.
Track record
Bullish Whales has scored 21 of John Baumgartner's stock calls across 9 companies, dating back to 2023. Their rated stocks beat their own sector 31% of the time over the next 12 months. On a typical call, a Baumgartner pick returned −8.1% more than its sector over the following year.
Of the scored calls, 17 were bullish (Buy) and 4 were bearish (Sell). Most of their coverage sits in Consumer Defensive. Every number on this page is an estimate from our own data. It is for education only and is not investment advice.
Coverage & ratings
Ratings & price targets
| Stock | Rating | Price target | Rated | 12-mo vs sector | PT hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 POSTPost Holdings Inc | Buy | $127.00 | May 2025 | −17.9% | Miss |
 PRMBPrimo Brands Corporation | Buy | $43.00 | May 2025 | −34.5% | Miss |
 SMPLSimply Good Foods Co | Buy | $47.00 | Apr 2025 | −73.0% | Miss |
 OTLYOatly Group AB ADR | Buy | $32.00 | Mar 2025 | −7.3% | Miss |
 LTHLife Time Group Holdings Inc | Buy | $41.00 | Mar 2025 | −27.4% | Miss |
 NOMDNomad Foods Ltd | Buy | $26.00 | Mar 2025 | −55.7% | Miss |
 UTZUtz Brands Inc | Buy | $19.00 | Feb 2025 | −28.8% | Miss |
| LTHLife Time Group Holdings Inc | Buy | $38.00 | Jan 2025 | −4.3% | Miss |
| SMPLSimply Good Foods Co | Buy | $45.00 | Jan 2025 | −47.8% | Miss |
| NOMDNomad Foods Ltd | Buy | $24.00 | Dec 2024 | −21.9% | Miss |
| SMPLSimply Good Foods Co | Buy | $45.00 | Dec 2024 | −49.8% | Miss |
| UTZUtz Brands Inc | Buy | $21.00 | Nov 2024 | −36.7% | Miss |
 BYNDBeyond Meat Inc | Sell | $5.00 | Aug 2024 | +59.3% | Hit |
| NOMDNomad Foods Ltd | Buy | $28.00 | May 2024 | −4.9% | Miss |
| BYNDBeyond Meat Inc | Sell | $6.00 | Apr 2024 | +68.9% | Hit |
| BYNDBeyond Meat Inc | Sell | $7.00 | Feb 2024 | +82.4% | Hit |
| BYNDBeyond Meat Inc | Sell | $5.00 | Oct 2023 | +49.4% | Miss |
| OTLYOatly Group AB ADR | Buy | $4.00 | Oct 2023 | −1.3% | Miss |
 STKLSunOpta Inc. | Buy | $9.00 | Oct 2023 | +75.9% | Miss |
| OTLYOatly Group AB ADR | Buy | $7.00 | May 2023 | −40.1% | Miss |
| OTLYOatly Group AB ADR | Buy | $6.00 | Jan 2023 | −61.2% | Miss |
John Baumgartner: analyst track record FAQ
Is John Baumgartner a good stock analyst?
Yes, by track record. John Baumgartner ranks number 192 of 347 of the analysts Bullish Whales scores, with a BW Score of 26 out of 100. Past results do not guarantee future ones.
What is John Baumgartner's win rate?
John Baumgartner's win rate is 31%. Across 21 scored calls, their rated stocks beat their sector 31% of the time over the next 12 months. On a typical call they returned −8.1% more than the sector.
What stocks and sectors does John Baumgartner cover?
John Baumgartner covers 9 companies, with the most coverage in Consumer Defensive. See the ratings table above for every scored call and its outcome.
Are John Baumgartner's price targets accurate?
John Baumgartner's price targets are reached within 12 months 28% of the time. The base rate across all analysts Bullish Whales tracks is about 43 percent.
How accurate are Wall Street analyst price targets?
Most analyst price targets are not reached on schedule. Across every target Bullish Whales scores, the stock reaches the target within 12 months only about 43 percent of the time, which is why it helps to compare hit rates analyst by analyst.
Should I follow John Baumgartner's stock ratings?
Their track record is strong, but no analyst is right every time. Follow the long-term track record rather than any single rating, size your positions to your own risk, and treat this as research, not investment advice.
How does Bullish Whales score analyst accuracy?
Bullish Whales scores every rating on real prices. We enter at the closing price on or after the call date, with no look-ahead, then measure the 12-month return above the stock's sector ETF and check whether the price target was reached. Scores are pulled toward the population average and corrected for testing thousands of analysts at once, so they reflect repeatable skill rather than luck.
How does John Baumgartner rank among Wall Street analysts?
John Baumgartner ranks number 192 of 347 by BW Score. We rank analysts by their realized 12-month sector-excess return and require a minimum number of calls so a few lucky picks cannot reach the top.
Browse the full analyst leaderboardHow analyst accuracy is scored
Every score, Win %, PT Hit % and rank is an estimate Bullish Whales calculates from its own data and may not be 100% accurate or complete. Returns are measured in excess of each rated stock's own sector over the 12 months after each call. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.