Analyst rating accuracy & track record
Matt Olney is an equity research analyst at Stephens & Co.. Bullish Whales has scored 49 of their stock calls across 11 companies. Their picks beat their sector 40% of the time over the next 12 months, and their price targets were reached 53% of the time within a year.
Track record
Bullish Whales has scored 49 of Matt Olney's stock calls across 11 companies, dating back to 2020. Their rated stocks beat their own sector 40% of the time over the next 12 months. On a typical call, a Olney pick returned −1.3% more than its sector over the following year.
Of the scored calls, 49 were bullish (Buy). Most of their coverage sits in Financial Services. Every number on this page is an estimate from our own data. It is for education only and is not investment advice.
Coverage & ratings
Ratings & price targets
| Stock | Rating | Price target | Rated | 12-mo vs sector | PT hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 TCBXThird Coast Bancshares, Inc. | Buy | $39.00 | Apr 2025 | +21.7% | Hit |
 BFSTBusiness First Bancshares Inc | Buy | $32.00 | Apr 2025 | +10.5% | Miss |
 SMBCSouthern Missouri Bancorp Inc | Buy | $65.00 | Apr 2025 | +15.5% | Hit |
 SFNCSimmons First National Corporation | Buy | $25.00 | Apr 2025 | +11.1% | Miss |
 HOMBHome BancShares Inc | Buy | $33.00 | Apr 2025 | −11.1% | Miss |
 TCBITexas Capital Bancshares, Inc. | Buy | $90.00 | Apr 2025 | +45.1% | Hit |
 HWCHancock Whitney Corp | Buy | $69.00 | Apr 2025 | +28.2% | Hit |
 OBKOrigin Bancorp, Inc. | Buy | $45.00 | Mar 2025 | +15.6% | Hit |
 RNSTRenasant Corporation | Buy | $47.00 | Jan 2025 | −5.9% | Miss |
| SMBCSouthern Missouri Bancorp Inc | Buy | $76.00 | Jan 2025 | −0.3% | Miss |
| OBKOrigin Bancorp, Inc. | Buy | $45.00 | Jan 2025 | +0.5% | Miss |
| SFNCSimmons First National Corporation | Buy | $28.00 | Jan 2025 | −12.8% | Miss |
| OBKOrigin Bancorp, Inc. | Buy | $42.00 | Jan 2025 | +3.9% | Hit |
| TCBXThird Coast Bancshares, Inc. | Buy | $42.00 | Jan 2025 | +4.5% | Hit |
| HWCHancock Whitney Corp | Buy | $74.00 | Jan 2025 | +12.5% | Miss |
| HOMBHome BancShares Inc | Buy | $34.00 | Jan 2025 | −9.1% | Miss |
| HOMBHome BancShares Inc | Buy | $34.00 | Jan 2025 | −12.0% | Miss |
| HWCHancock Whitney Corp | Buy | $68.00 | Jan 2025 | +5.7% | Miss |
| SMBCSouthern Missouri Bancorp Inc | Buy | $72.00 | Oct 2024 | −23.3% | Miss |
| OBKOrigin Bancorp, Inc. | Buy | $38.00 | Oct 2024 | −5.1% | Hit |
| SFNCSimmons First National Corporation | Buy | $28.00 | Oct 2024 | −32.5% | Miss |
| HOMBHome BancShares Inc | Buy | $31.00 | Oct 2024 | −7.4% | Hit |
| RNSTRenasant Corporation | Buy | $41.00 | Jul 2024 | −9.8% | Miss |
| OBKOrigin Bancorp, Inc. | Buy | $39.00 | Jul 2024 | −16.3% | Hit |
| HOMBHome BancShares Inc | Buy | $30.00 | Jul 2024 | −12.6% | Hit |
| HOMBHome BancShares Inc | Buy | $28.00 | Jul 2024 | −10.2% | Hit |
 SMBKSmartFinancial, Inc. | Buy | $26.00 | Apr 2024 | +26.9% | Hit |
| SMBKSmartFinancial, Inc. | Buy | $26.00 | Apr 2024 | +28.8% | Hit |
| HOMBHome BancShares Inc | Buy | $28.00 | Apr 2024 | −2.1% | Hit |
| SMBKSmartFinancial, Inc. | Buy | $27.00 | Jan 2024 | +13.7% | Hit |
 RRBIRed River Bancshares Inc | Buy | $55.00 | Oct 2023 | −30.1% | Hit |
| OBKOrigin Bancorp, Inc. | Buy | $34.00 | Oct 2023 | −40.3% | Hit |
| TCBXThird Coast Bancshares, Inc. | Buy | $20.00 | Oct 2023 | +64.6% | Hit |
| BFSTBusiness First Bancshares Inc | Buy | $24.00 | Oct 2023 | −10.2% | Hit |
| SMBKSmartFinancial, Inc. | Buy | $25.00 | Oct 2023 | +9.3% | Hit |
| HOMBHome BancShares Inc | Buy | $24.00 | Oct 2023 | −16.3% | Hit |
| TCBXThird Coast Bancshares, Inc. | Buy | $24.00 | Jul 2023 | −9.6% | Hit |
| BFSTBusiness First Bancshares Inc | Buy | $25.00 | Jul 2023 | +2.7% | Hit |
| SMBKSmartFinancial, Inc. | Buy | $28.00 | Jul 2023 | −8.1% | Hit |
| SMBKSmartFinancial, Inc. | Buy | $25.00 | Jul 2023 | −8.6% | Hit |
| OBKOrigin Bancorp, Inc. | Buy | $39.00 | Apr 2023 | −17.9% | Miss |
| TCBXThird Coast Bancshares, Inc. | Buy | $20.00 | Apr 2023 | +17.5% | Hit |
| SMBKSmartFinancial, Inc. | Buy | $26.00 | Apr 2023 | −32.4% | Miss |
| TCBXThird Coast Bancshares, Inc. | Buy | $23.00 | Jan 2023 | −2.7% | Miss |
| BFSTBusiness First Bancshares Inc | Buy | $30.00 | Oct 2022 | −15.4% | Miss |
| RRBIRed River Bancshares Inc | Buy | $68.00 | Aug 2022 | −17.1% | Miss |
| TCBXThird Coast Bancshares, Inc. | Buy | $28.00 | Apr 2022 | −20.4% | Miss |
| OBKOrigin Bancorp, Inc. | Buy | $25.00 | Apr 2020 | +35.9% | Hit |
| BFSTBusiness First Bancshares Inc | Buy | $31.00 | Jan 2020 | −16.0% | Miss |
Matt Olney: analyst track record FAQ
Is Matt Olney a good stock analyst?
Yes, by track record. Matt Olney ranks number 103 of 347 of the analysts Bullish Whales scores, with a BW Score of 46 out of 100. Past results do not guarantee future ones.
What is Matt Olney's win rate?
Matt Olney's win rate is 40%. Across 49 scored calls, their rated stocks beat their sector 40% of the time over the next 12 months. On a typical call they returned −1.3% more than the sector.
What stocks and sectors does Matt Olney cover?
Matt Olney covers 11 companies, with the most coverage in Financial Services. See the ratings table above for every scored call and its outcome.
Are Matt Olney's price targets accurate?
Matt Olney's price targets are reached within 12 months 53% of the time. The base rate across all analysts Bullish Whales tracks is about 43 percent.
How accurate are Wall Street analyst price targets?
Most analyst price targets are not reached on schedule. Across every target Bullish Whales scores, the stock reaches the target within 12 months only about 43 percent of the time, which is why it helps to compare hit rates analyst by analyst.
Should I follow Matt Olney's stock ratings?
Their track record is strong, but no analyst is right every time. Follow the long-term track record rather than any single rating, size your positions to your own risk, and treat this as research, not investment advice.
How does Bullish Whales score analyst accuracy?
Bullish Whales scores every rating on real prices. We enter at the closing price on or after the call date, with no look-ahead, then measure the 12-month return above the stock's sector ETF and check whether the price target was reached. Scores are pulled toward the population average and corrected for testing thousands of analysts at once, so they reflect repeatable skill rather than luck.
How does Matt Olney rank among Wall Street analysts?
Matt Olney ranks number 103 of 347 by BW Score. We rank analysts by their realized 12-month sector-excess return and require a minimum number of calls so a few lucky picks cannot reach the top.
Browse the full analyst leaderboardHow analyst accuracy is scored
Every score, Win %, PT Hit % and rank is an estimate Bullish Whales calculates from its own data and may not be 100% accurate or complete. Returns are measured in excess of each rated stock's own sector over the 12 months after each call. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.